Will the US Government make a show of declassifying everything on UFOs / UAPs before 2030
PolitiekOne-OffUS PoliticsVerkiezing3jManifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspellingNee 54.4%
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Bijgewerkt 11 uur geleden
Verouderd14 jul 23, 20:55 UTC31 dec 29, 16:59 UTC
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PolymarketRegels
They don't have to actually declassify *everything* to resolve YES.
- It's enough that they make some substantial declassifications and do it in a way that seems intended to give the impression that they are "declassifying everything".
- Redactions are fine, national security exceptions are fine, this is ultimately more about political perception than reality.
- If a presidential candidate pledges to declassify everything and then on winning election does some significant declassifications in a way that seems intended to fulfill that campaign promise that would presumptively resolve YES.
- In case of ambiguity I may resolve to market IF I think the market price seems reasonable and not an artifact of manipulation or poor liquidity.
- Otherwise I will just make my own best judgement.
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Veelgestelde vragen
- Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor Will the US Government make a show of declassifying everything on UFOs / UAPs before 2030?
- Manifold Markets prijst No op 54% per 8 september 2026.
- Wanneer wordt Will the US Government make a show of declassifying everything on UFOs / UAPs before 2030 afgewikkeld?
- Will the US Government make a show of declassifying everything on UFOs / UAPs before 2030 wordt naar verwachting op 31 december 2029 afgewikkeld.
- Hoe wordt Will the US Government make a show of declassifying everything on UFOs / UAPs before 2030 afgewikkeld?
- Manifold Markets wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: They don't have to actually declassify *everything* to resolve YES.