Will the US establish a clear AI developer liability framework for AI harms by 2028?
AIOne-OffRegelgevingTech2j
Manifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensGoed gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspellingNee 52.9%
Voorspellers
7
Vraagtype
binary
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Brontype
Voorspelling
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 1 uur geleden
Vertraagd28 apr 23, 13:56 UTC31 dec 28, 23:59 UTC
Trends
Regels
This market will resolve to yes if the US creates a policy by 2028 that clarifies the liability of AI developers for concrete AI harms, particularly clear physical or financial harms, including those resulting from negligent security practices.
- The framework should specifically address the risks from frontier AI models carrying out actions, aiming to incentivize greater investment in safety and security by AI developers.
- Luke Muehlhauser from Open Philanthropy suggests this idea in his April 2023 post, "12 tentative ideas for US AI policy." This market idea was proposed by Michael Chen.
