Manifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspellingNee 56%
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37
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binary
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
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Voorspelling
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Bijgewerkt 41 minuten geleden
14 jul 23, 23:38 UTC1 jan 00, 22:59 UTC
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Manifold MarketsRegels
If both women and non-women take the next step at the same time, resolves to the fraction of women among them.
- If for some reason it is not clear whether a woman was first, resolves to the fraction of women among the crew of the mission.
- Update 2025-02-26 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Updated Resolution Criteria:
- Only count individuals who actually set foot on the lunar surface.
- Crew members who remain inside a landed vehicle and do not exit are not counted.
