Manifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspelling
Ja 56.8%
Voorspellers
12
Vraagtype
binary
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Brontype
Voorspelling
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 5 minuten geleden
31 okt 23, 18:59 UTC31 dec 90, 10:59 UTC
Trends
Gerelateerde Markten
Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
What will be true of the next person to walk on the moon? [ADD RESPONSES]
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PolymarketRegels
By which I mean: will he be a citizen of the USA taken to the Moon on an American mission.
Open markten
Space
LIMITLESSSpaceX (SPCX) Up or Down - Daily
- Yes65.4%
- No34.6%
- Totaal volume
- € 405,8K
- 24u volume
- € 161,9K
POLYMARKETWhich company has the best AI model end of September?
- Anthropic-0.1pt97%
- Google-0.5pt2%
- OpenAI+0.1pt1%
+18 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 2,8 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 62,7K
KALSHIWhen will Tesla and SpaceX merge?
- Before 2028-5.0pt61%
- Before May 1, 2027-7.0pt46%
- Before Apr 1, 202744%
+8 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 946K
POLYMARKETWhich company has the best AI model end of October?
- Anthropic+4.0pt85.3%
- Google-2.1pt6.9%
- OpenAI-3.0pt4.9%
+18 extra uitkomsten
KALSHIHow many launches will SpaceX have in September?
- Above 867.7%
- Above 9-3.0pt14.5%
- Above 10-5.0pt6.5%
+8 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 194,6K
POLYMARKETHow many more Millennium Prize Problems will AI solve in 2026?
- 0+2.0pt44.1%
- 1+4.5pt27.4%
- 2+2.0pt18.6%
+3 extra uitkomsten
- AI lab announces another Millennium Prize solution by which date?
- Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14
- Which Millennium Prize Problem will AI solve next?
- Which company has the best Code Arena WebDev AI model end of September?
- Will the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch by which date?
- Which company has the best Text Arena Math AI model end of September?
- SpaceX Starship 14th launch?
- Which company has the best Image Edit AI end of October?
Veelgestelde vragen
- Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor Will the next person to walk on the moon be American??
- Manifold Markets prijst Yes op 57% per 14 september 2026.
- Wanneer wordt Will the next person to walk on the moon be American? afgewikkeld?
- Will the next person to walk on the moon be American? wordt naar verwachting op 31 december 2090 afgewikkeld.
- Hoe wordt Will the next person to walk on the moon be American? afgewikkeld?
- Manifold Markets wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: By which I mean: will he be a citizen of the USA taken to the Moon on an American mission.