Manifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspellingsafely returns to Earth 93.9%Koploper van 35 uitkomsten
Voorspellers
57
Vraagtype
multiple choice
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Brontype
Voorspelling
7d wijziging
0.0 pts
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 16 uur geleden
Verouderd7 apr 24, 05:06 UTC31 dec 39, 15:59 UTC
Trends
Gerelateerde Markten
Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
Will the first person to walk on Mars make it back to Earth?
Manifold MarketsWill the next person to walk on the moon be American?
Manifold MarketsWill a human walk on the Moon again before 2040?
Manifold MarketsBTC price on Sep 14, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
KalshiSpaceX (SPCX) Up or Down - Daily
LimitlessBitcoin price at the end of 2026
KalshiRegels
All are at the time of moon walk unless otherwise specified.
- Add your own.
- Should be easily verified (ie nothing like "they love pineapple on pizza").
- Intention is "what will be the properties of Neil Armstrong 2.0".
- In general, all items are taken to be "as publicly known, at the time of the landing".
- So if the astronaut is trans but stealth and this has somehow not come up, it would resolve 'NO' for 'the named outcome'.
Open markten
TechKALSHIBTC price on Sep 14, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $74,500 or above99%
- $74,250 or above99%
- $73,250 or above99%
+77 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 685,1K
- 24u volume
- € 680,9K
POLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets September 12 - September 14, 2026?
- 65-89+50.5pt56.4%
- 40-64-6.6pt41.6%
- 90-114+1.6pt2%
+7 extra uitkomsten
LIMITLESSSpaceX (SPCX) Up or Down - Daily
- No74.1%
- Yes25.9%
- Totaal volume
- € 303,7K
- 24u volume
- € 298,8K
KALSHIBitcoin price at the end of 2026
- 75,000 to 79,999.99+0.4pt13.9%
- 70,000 to 74,999.99+0.4pt12%
- 80,000 to 84,999.99+1.7pt12%
+25 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
POLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets September 11 - September 18, 2026?
- 180-199+4.0pt24.5%
- 200-219+10.0pt24.5%
- 220-239+7.0pt15.7%
+23 extra uitkomsten
KALSHIBTC price on Sep 18, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $66,000 or above98%
- $67,000 or above98%
- $65,500 or above97%
+47 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 452,6K
- 24u volume
- € 143K
- NVIDIA (NVDA) Up or Down - Daily
- When will Apple release the iPhone 18?
- Where will it rain on Sep 14, 2026?
- Highest temperature in Los Angeles on Sep 14, 2026?
- Best AI at the end of 2026?
- Which company has the best AI model end of September?
- Elon Musk # tweets September 15 - September 22, 2026?
- Highest temperature in New York City on Sep 14, 2026?
- BTC 15 min · $77,736.55 target
- ETH price on Sep 14, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
Veelgestelde vragen
- Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor What will be true of the next person to walk on the moon? [ADD RESPONSES]?
- Manifold Markets prijst safely returns to Earth op 94% per 14 september 2026.
- Wanneer wordt What will be true of the next person to walk on the moon? [ADD RESPONSES] afgewikkeld?
- What will be true of the next person to walk on the moon? [ADD RESPONSES] wordt naar verwachting op 31 december 2039 afgewikkeld.
- Hoe wordt What will be true of the next person to walk on the moon? [ADD RESPONSES] afgewikkeld?
- Manifold Markets wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: All are at the time of moon walk unless otherwise specified.