Manifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensGoed gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspellingsafely returns to Earth 93.9%Koploper van 35 uitkomsten
Voorspellers
57
Vraagtype
multiple choice
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Brontype
Voorspelling
7d wijziging
0.0 pts
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 13 uur geleden
Verouderd7 apr 24, 05:06 UTC31 dec 39, 15:59 UTC
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Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
🧑🚀 What will be true about the first person(s) to walk on a planet other than Mars and Earth? [ADD RESPONSES]
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KalshiRegels
All are at the time of moon walk unless otherwise specified.
- Add your own.
- Should be easily verified (ie nothing like "they love pineapple on pizza").
- Intention is "what will be the properties of Neil Armstrong 2.0".
- In general, all items are taken to be "as publicly known, at the time of the landing".
- So if the astronaut is trans but stealth and this has somehow not come up, it would resolve 'NO' for 'the named outcome'.