Manifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdWaarschuwing datakwaliteitBrongegevens verslechterd
Gegevens van 25 okt 2026, 21:52 UTC · beleid pm-quality-4
Huidige gemeenschapsvoorspellingNee 89.1%
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25
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binary
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
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Bijgewerkt 3 uur geleden
Verouderd10 jun 24, 06:47 UTC1 jun 29, 18:29 UTC
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Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
Modi out by December 31, 2026?
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Manifold MarketsRegels
The results of the 2024 Indian General Elections were declared on 5 June 2024.
- On 7 June 2024, Narendra Modi staked claim to form the government (i.e., executive) of India.
- Controlling the executive requires the support of a parliamentary majority.
- Modi's party, the Bharatiya Janata Party, on its own does not have enough seats to cross majority mark, and so requires the support of its alliance, the National Democratic Alliance, to control government.
- Resolves YES if Narendra Modi does not hold the post of Prime Minister at any point before the standard end of term.
- Resolves NO if Modi retains this post throughout the term.
