Will the KIA-China rare earth trade have suffered a 30+ day halt by December 31, 2026?
ChinaOne-Off2mndManifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensGoed gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspellingNee 88%
Voorspellers
0
Vraagtype
binary
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Brontype
Voorspelling
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 14 uur geleden
Verouderd31 mrt 26, 16:22 UTC31 dec 26, 05:00 UTC
Trends
Gerelateerde Markten
Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
Will the KIA-China rare earth trade have suffered a 30+ day halt by December 31, 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill the KIA-China rare earth trade have suffered a 30+ day halt by June 30, 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill the Myanmar junta have conducted airstrikes on Kachin rare earth mining sites by December 31, 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill China's suspension of its October 2025 rare-earth export controls still be in effect on November 30, 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
PolymarketTaipei Mayor Election Winner
PolymarketRegels
This market resolves YES if, by December 31, 2026, all Kachin State border crossings have been closed to rare earth trade for 30+ consecutive days due to a breakdown in the KIA-China commercial relationship.
- YES if by December 31, 2026:
- All Kachin border crossings closed to RE trade for 30+ consecutive days
- Closure caused by KIA-China diplomatic/commercial breakdown (not weather/logistics)
- No 30+ day consecutive halt has occurred by December 31, 2026
- Any closures were shorter than 30 days or caused by non-commercial factors