Manifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspellingJa 94.3%
Voorspellers
20
Vraagtype
binary
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Brontype
Voorspelling
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 1 uur geleden
Vertraagd4 okt 22, 22:49 UTC31 dec 26, 16:59 UTC
Trends
Gerelateerde Markten
Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
Will the ISS still be in operation at the start of 2028?
Manifold MarketsWill any of NASA's Canoo Crew Transportation Vehicles (CTVs) fail during operation or no longer be utilised by 2028?
Manifold MarketsWhich company has the best AI model end of September?
PolymarketSpaceX (SPCX) Up or Down - Daily
LimitlessHow many launches will SpaceX have in September?
KalshiWhich company has the best AI model end of October?
PolymarketRegels
This market will resolve if any of the following are true:
- - If this market reaches its close date
- - If `8G8D07CxdVzqkPLBcY3L` closes (Will the ISS still be in operation at the start of 2026?).
- It will resolve based on the following decision tree:
- - If the human operator agrees:
- --- Resolves to round(MKT).
Open markten
SpacePOLYMARKETWhich company has the best AI model end of September?
- Anthropic+0.5pt89.9%
- OpenAI-1.6pt8.1%
- Google-0.1pt2%
+18 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 2,4 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 131,5K
LIMITLESSSpaceX (SPCX) Up or Down - Daily
- No60.4%
- Yes39.6%
- Totaal volume
- € 103,6K
- 24u volume
- € 27,9K
POLYMARKETWhich company has the best AI model end of October?
- Anthropic-1.5pt72.5%
- OpenAI+2.0pt18.6%
- Google-1.4pt5.9%
+18 extra uitkomsten
KALSHIHow many launches will SpaceX have in September?
- Above 8-8.0pt82%
- Above 9-49.0pt22%
- Above 10-20.0pt14%
+8 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
POLYMARKETTesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by which date?
- December 31,47%
- June 30,41%
- February 28,27%
+4 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 996,1K
POLYMARKETLargest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- Anthropic+0.3pt59.6%
- SpaceX+0.5pt38.4%
- OpenAI+0.1pt2%
+9 extra uitkomsten
- AI lab announces another Millennium Prize solution by which date?
- Which company has the best AI Agent end of September?
- When will Tesla and SpaceX merge?
- Will a new interstellar visitor be confirmed before 2027?
- Third-best AI Lab end of September?
- Third-best AI Lab end of October?
- Pro Football Championship Halftime Show: Performers
- SpaceX Starship 14th launch?
- Two SpaceX Starships dock together by which date?
- What will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit in September 2026?
Veelgestelde vragen
- Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor Will the ISS still be in operation at the start of 2027??
- Manifold Markets prijst Yes op 94% per 9 september 2026.
- Wanneer wordt Will the ISS still be in operation at the start of 2027? afgewikkeld?
- Will the ISS still be in operation at the start of 2027? wordt naar verwachting op 31 december 2026 afgewikkeld.
- Hoe wordt Will the ISS still be in operation at the start of 2027? afgewikkeld?
- Manifold Markets wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: This market will resolve if any of the following are true: