Will the highest-scoring LLM on Dec 31, 2026 show <10% improvement over 2025's best average benchmark performance?

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Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor Will the highest-scoring LLM on Dec 31, 2026 show <10% improvement over 2025's best average benchmark performance??

Manifold Markets prijst Yes op 82.9% per 25 oktober 2026.

Wanneer wordt Will the highest-scoring LLM on Dec 31, 2026 show <10% improvement over 2025's best average benchmark performance? afgewikkeld?

Will the highest-scoring LLM on Dec 31, 2026 show <10% improvement over 2025's best average benchmark performance? wordt naar verwachting op 31 december 2026 afgewikkeld.

Hoe wordt Will the highest-scoring LLM on Dec 31, 2026 show <10% improvement over 2025's best average benchmark performance? afgewikkeld?

Manifold Markets wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: BASELINE (2025 leader): The current leader as of Aug 2025 appears to be GPT-4.5 with ~90.2% on MMLU, with Claude 4 and Gemini 2.5 Pro at ~85-86%

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POLYMARKET

Which company has the best AI model end of October?

• Google-4.8pt85.9%
• Anthropic+4.8pt13.1%
• OpenAI+0.5pt1%

+18 extra uitkomsten

Totaal volume

€ 3,2 mln.

24u volume

€ 126,6K

KALSHI

Best AI at the end of 2026?

• Claude+7.1pt56.5%
• Gemini-7.4pt30.8%
• ChatGPT+0.2pt

POLYMARKET

Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap

• $1.75–$2.0T-2.0pt28.9%
• $1.5–$1.75T+0.4pt19.6%
• $2.0–$2.25T+0.1pt19.6%

+7 extra uitkomsten

KALSHI

When will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?

• Before Apr 1, 2027+2.0pt92.5%
• Before Mar 1, 202791.5%
• Before Feb 1, 2027+2.0pt

POLYMARKET

Which company has best AI model end of 2026?

• Anthropic+4.0pt55.1%
• Google-5.0pt36.7%
• OpenAI-0.2pt6.1%

+12 extra uitkomsten

POLYMARKET

Anthropic IPO by which date?

• December 15,+8.0pt82%
• December 31,+4.5pt82%
• November 30,-1.0pt64%

+9 extra uitkomsten

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