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Verouderd7 sep 24, 23:13 UTC2 jul 27, 06:59 UTC
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Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
Will the first Starships to Mars launch before 2027?
Manifold MarketsWhich is first: Crewed Starships to Mars, or California high speed rail?
Manifold MarketsWill at least one Starship leave Earth heading for Mars in the 2026 launch window?
Manifold MarketsWill two SpaceX Starships dock together before 2028?
KalshiTwo SpaceX Starships dock together by which date?
PolymarketWhich company has the best AI model end of September?
PolymarketRegels
https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1832550322293837833: > The first Starships to Mars will launch in 2 years when the next Earth-Mars transfer window opens.
- These will be uncrewed to test the reliability of landing intact on Mars.
- If those landings go well, then the first crewed flights to Mars will be in 4 years.
- Will the first part of this tweet happen?
- Update 2026-04-18 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The market resolves Yes if at least one Starship is plausibly sent to Mars (does not require a landing attempt).
Open markten
TechKALSHIBTC price on Sep 8, 2026 at 8pm EDT?
- $78,400 or above99%
- $78,300 or above99%
- $78,200 or above99%
+97 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 944,1K
- 24u volume
- € 721,8K
KALSHIHighest temperature in Los Angeles on Sep 8, 2026?
- 90° or above+68.0pt95.2%
- 88° to 89°-22.0pt1%
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KALSHIBTC 15 min · $78,442.97 target
- No73%
- Yes27%
- Totaal volume
- € 620K
- 24u volume
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- 24u volume
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KALSHIWhere will it rain on Sep 8, 2026?
- New Orleans+48.0pt99%
- Houston+70.0pt99%
- Minneapolis+17.0pt99%
+19 extra uitkomsten
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KALSHIHighest temperature in New York City on Sep 8, 2026?
- 80° to 81°+53.0pt95.2%
- 79° or below-3.0pt1%
- 82° to 83°-44.0pt1%
+3 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
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Veelgestelde vragen
- Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor Will the first Starships to Mars will launch in 2 years when the next Earth-Mars transfer window opens??
- Manifold Markets prijst No op 99% per 8 september 2026.
- Wanneer wordt Will the first Starships to Mars will launch in 2 years when the next Earth-Mars transfer window opens? afgewikkeld?
- Will the first Starships to Mars will launch in 2 years when the next Earth-Mars transfer window opens? wordt naar verwachting op 2 juli 2027 afgewikkeld.
- Hoe wordt Will the first Starships to Mars will launch in 2 years when the next Earth-Mars transfer window opens? afgewikkeld?
- Manifold Markets wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1832550322293837833: > The first Starships to Mars will launch in 2 years when the next Earth-Mars transfer window opens.