Manifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensGoed gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspellingNee 98.8%
Voorspellers
17
Vraagtype
binary
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Brontype
Voorspelling
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 10 uur geleden
Verouderd8 sep 24, 01:51 UTC1 jan 27, 16:59 UTC
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Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
Will the first Starships to Mars will launch in 2 years when the next Earth-Mars transfer window opens?
Manifold MarketsWill at least one Starship leave Earth heading for Mars in the 2026 launch window?
Manifold MarketsWhich is first: Crewed Starships to Mars, or California high speed rail?
Manifold MarketsWill the first crewed Starship to Mars launch within 4 years as Elon Musk says?
Manifold MarketsLargest IPO by market cap in 2026?
PolymarketWhich company has the best AI model end of November?
PolymarketRegels
Elon Musk has stated on X (formerly known as Twitter) that the first Starships to Mars will launch in 2026:
- https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1832550322293837833?t=vksvLiovvh5ZD-XvdX5V0w&s=19
- Market resolves YES if successful crewed or uncrewed launches happen before 1 January 2027 and NO otherwise
