Waarschuwing datakwaliteitBrongegevens verslechterd
Gegevens van 25 okt 2026, 11:35 UTC · beleid pm-quality-4
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Ja 54.8%
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19
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binary
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Voorspelling
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Bijgewerkt 13 uur geleden
Verouderd11 dec 22, 06:03 UTC11 nov 32, 23:59 UTC
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Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
AI wins IMO gold medal in 2026?
PolymarketWill AI get IMO Gold by 2025/Wipe out Humanity by 2030?
Manifold MarketsWhat years will AI win IMO bronze (or higher)?
Manifold MarketsTime between AI winning IMO gold medal and AI winning IMO grand challenge (see description)
Manifold MarketsWhen will a freely available LLM achieve IMO gold?
Manifold MarketsWill an LLM beat a grandmaster in chess?
KalshiRegels
This question resolves after an AI first gets IMO Gold, when a paper or preprint is first published describing the functioning of the algorithm.
- It resolves YES if that paper cites the paper "A general reinforcement learning algorithm that masters chess, shogi, and Go through self-play", by Silver et al.
- I will default to whatever version of the paper has been most recently released two weeks after the announcement of the achievement of the gold medal.
- Close date updated to 2032-11-11 3:59 pm
