Manifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspellingNee 77.7%
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8
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binary
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 11 uur geleden
Verouderd21 jul 23, 14:46 UTC1 jan 50, 22:59 UTC
Trends
Gerelateerde Markten
Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
Will the Doomsday Clock reach 5 minutes or more to midnight before 2040?
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Manifold MarketsUS-Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
PolymarketUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
PolymarketWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
PolymarketRegels
Will the Doomsday Clock that the Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists's publish regularly be at or above 15 minutes to midnight, for any time before 01.01.2050? If the change happens at midnight it will also count.
- If the clock shows a higher time because of some error it doesn't count.
Open markten
GeopoliticsPOLYMARKETUS-Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- September 20+0.3pt97%
- September 25-7.5pt84%
- September 30-3.5pt77%
+3 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 998,6K
- 24u volume
- € 667,5K
POLYMARKETIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- July 18+0.3pt100%
- July 20+0.1pt100%
- July 22+0.5pt100%
+21 extra uitkomsten
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31+0.1pt60%
- October 31+3.0pt36%
- September 309%
+17 extra uitkomsten
POLYMARKETWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
- No-1.0pt83.2%
- Yes+1.0pt16.8%
- Totaal volume
- € 58,7 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 257,7K
POLYMARKETBab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by which date?
- December 31+3.0pt22%
- October 31+2.5pt12%
- September 30+1.1pt3%
+9 extra uitkomsten
POLYMARKETTrump x Greenland deal signed by which date?
- December 31-0.3pt96%
- September 25+4.0pt88%
- September 23+7.5pt74%
- US-Iran nuclear deal?
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
- Where will the next next round of US-Iran peace talks be?
- Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on?
- NATO x Russia military clash by which date?
- Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?
- US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by which date?
- Houthis enter Aden by which date?
- Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
- Israel military action against Yemen by which date?
Veelgestelde vragen
- Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor Will the Doomsday Clock reach 15 minutes or more to midnight before 2050??
- Manifold Markets prijst No op 78% per 20 september 2026.
- Wanneer wordt Will the Doomsday Clock reach 15 minutes or more to midnight before 2050? afgewikkeld?
- Will the Doomsday Clock reach 15 minutes or more to midnight before 2050? wordt naar verwachting op 1 januari 2050 afgewikkeld.
- Hoe wordt Will the Doomsday Clock reach 15 minutes or more to midnight before 2050? afgewikkeld?
- Manifold Markets wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: Will the Doomsday Clock that the Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists's publish regularly be at or above 15 minutes to midnight, for any time before 01.01.2050? If the change happens at midnight it will also count.