Will the Democrats hold 54 or more Senate Seats in the next Congress?
PolitiekOne-OffAmerikaanse politiek3mnd
Manifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspellingNee 74.9%
Voorspellers
5
Vraagtype
binary
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Brontype
Voorspelling
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 8 minuten geleden
22 okt 26, 02:50 UTC2 feb 27, 00:00 UTC
Trends
Gerelateerde Markten
Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
Will the Democrats hold 53 or more Senate seats in the next Congress?
Manifold MarketsWill the Democrats hold 56 or more senate seats in the next Congress?
Manifold MarketsHow many seats will the Democrats hold in the U.S. Senate after the 2026 Midterm Election?
Manifold MarketsHow many seats will the Democrats hold in the U.S. Senate after the 2026 Midterm Election?
Manifold MarketsHow many Senate seats will Democrats hold after the Midterms?
KalshiHow many Senate seats will Democrats hold after the Midterms? (Higher strikes)
KalshiRegels
This market resolves to YES if the Democratic Party holds 54 or more seats in the senate of the United States Congress on February 1, 2027.
- Otherwise, this market resolves to NO.
- Source of truth: The official composition (identity and partisan membership) published by the United States Congress (accessible via Congress.gov or official chamber directories at Senate.gov) as of February 1, 2027.
- Caucusing members: In accordance with standard Congressional counting conventions, independent members who officially caucus with the Democratic Party (e.g., independent senators who organize with the Democratic caucus) are counted toward the Democratic seat total.
- Timing & revisions: Partisan composition will be measured as of February 1, 2027.
- Any vacancies, special elections, or party switches occurring or officially recorded after February 1, 2027, will not be factored into resolution.
