How many seats will the Democrats hold in the U.S. Senate after the 2026 Midterm Election?

0.1 ptn (24u)One-OffPolitiek Verkiezing US Politics4mnd

Manifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerd

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51 18.5%+0.1pt

Koploper van 12 uitkomsten

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multiple choice

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Play-money forecasting platform

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7d wijziging

+1.5 pts

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Bijgewerkt 10 uur geleden

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2 apr 25, 0:164 jan 27, 23:59

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I will add new options if the odds credibly swing either much higher or much lower than the currently expected median.

Feel free to ask clarifying questions.
By default, this market will resolve on January 4th, 2027.
If there is an edge case in which it is unclear how many Dems are in the new senate, I will delay resolution.
Independents will count towards the party they caucus with.
Independents who do not caucus with the Dems will not count for them, even if they usually vote with them.

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Ook beschikbaar op Kalshi — How many Senate seats will Democrats hold after the Midterms? · Above 52 22%

How many seats will the Democrats hold in the U.S. Senate after the 2026 Midterm Election?

0.1 ptn (24u)One-OffPolitiek Verkiezing US Politics4mnd

Manifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerd

Huidige gemeenschapsvoorspelling

51 18.5%+0.1pt

Koploper van 12 uitkomsten

Voorspellers

Vraagtype

multiple choice

Methodologie

Play-money forecasting platform

Brontype

Voorspelling

7d wijziging

+1.5 pts

Marktdata

Bijgewerkt 10 uur geleden

Verouderd

2 apr 25, 0:164 jan 27, 23:59

Trends

Uitkomst24uKans

Regels

I will add new options if the odds credibly swing either much higher or much lower than the currently expected median.

Feel free to ask clarifying questions.
By default, this market will resolve on January 4th, 2027.
If there is an edge case in which it is unclear how many Dems are in the new senate, I will delay resolution.
Independents will count towards the party they caucus with.
Independents who do not caucus with the Dems will not count for them, even if they usually vote with them.

Vergelijking van voorspellingsbronnen

Ook beschikbaar op Kalshi — How many Senate seats will Democrats hold after the Midterms? · Above 52 22%

Veelgestelde vragen

Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor How many seats will the Democrats hold in the U.S. Senate after the 2026 Midterm Election??: Manifold Markets prijst 51 op 19% per 21 augustus 2026.
Wanneer wordt How many seats will the Democrats hold in the U.S. Senate after the 2026 Midterm Election? afgewikkeld?: How many seats will the Democrats hold in the U.S. Senate after the 2026 Midterm Election? wordt naar verwachting op 4 januari 2027 afgewikkeld.
Hoe wordt How many seats will the Democrats hold in the U.S. Senate after the 2026 Midterm Election? afgewikkeld?: Manifold Markets wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: I will add new options if the odds credibly swing either much higher or much lower than the currently expected median.
Waar wordt How many seats will the Democrats hold in the U.S. Senate after the 2026 Midterm Election? nog meer aangeboden?: Dezelfde vraag wordt ook aangeboden op Kalshi.

How many seats will the Democrats hold in the U.S. Senate after the 2026 Midterm Election?

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How many seats will the Democrats hold in the U.S. Senate after the 2026 Midterm Election?

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