How many seats will the Democrats hold in the U.S. Senate after the 2026 Midterm Election?
1.9 ptn (24u)One-OffPolitiekVerkiezingAmerikaanse politiekAmerikaanse tussentijdse verkiezingen 20262mndManifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspelling52 15.8%-1.9ptKoploper van 12 uitkomsten
Voorspellers
56
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multiple choice
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
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Voorspelling
7d wijziging
-0.1 pts
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 11 minuten geleden
2 apr 25, 00:16 UTC4 jan 27, 23:59 UTC
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How many seats will the Democrats hold in the U.S. Senate after the 2026 Midterm Election?
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Manifold MarketsRegels
I will add new options if the odds credibly swing either much higher or much lower than the currently expected median.
- Feel free to ask clarifying questions.
- By default, this market will resolve on January 4th, 2027.
- If there is an edge case in which it is unclear how many Dems are in the new senate, I will delay resolution.
- Independents will count towards the party they caucus with.
- Independents who do not caucus with the Dems will not count for them, even if they usually vote with them.
