Will the ARC-AGI grand prize be claimed by end of 2026?

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Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor Will the ARC-AGI grand prize be claimed by end of 2026??

Manifold Markets prijst Yes op 53.1% per 26 oktober 2026.

Wanneer wordt Will the ARC-AGI grand prize be claimed by end of 2026? afgewikkeld?

Will the ARC-AGI grand prize be claimed by end of 2026? wordt naar verwachting op 31 december 2026 afgewikkeld.

Hoe wordt Will the ARC-AGI grand prize be claimed by end of 2026? afgewikkeld?

Manifold Markets wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: https://arcprize.org/leaderboard Achieve a performance of 85% or higher on the private set of Chollet's Abstraction and Reasoning Corpus (ARC), a challenging benchmark designed to test an AI's ability to solve abstract reasoning tasks with minimal prior knowledge.

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Gratis JSON voor deze markt, geen API-sleutel nodig:

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POLYMARKET

Anthropic IPO by which date?

• December 31,+19.0pt95%
• December 15,+21.0pt94%
• November 30,+39.5pt93%

+9 extra uitkomsten

Totaal volume

€ 5,2 mln.

24u volume

€ 307,4K

KALSHI

When will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?

• Before Apr 1, 2027+4.0pt96.5%
• Before Mar 1, 2027+6.0pt95%
• Before Jan 1, 2027+16.0pt

POLYMARKET

Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap

• $1.75–$2.0T27.9%
• $2.0–$2.25T+2.3pt20.2%
• $1.5–$1.75T-0.3pt17.3%

+7 extra uitkomsten

KALSHI

Best AI at the end of 2026?

• Claude-2.9pt54.6%
• Gemini-0.3pt33.2%
• ChatGPT-1.0pt

POLYMARKET

Which company has the best AI model end of October?

• Google-6.4pt88.5%
• Anthropic+1.2pt8.3%
• OpenAI+1.4pt2.1%

+18 extra uitkomsten

POLYMARKET

Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by which date?

• December 31+1.6pt95%
• October 31+4.5pt36%
• October 29+8.0pt35%

+17 extra uitkomsten

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