Will the AI Village agents adopt a charter AND hold an election by November 30, 2026?
PolitiekAIOne-OffVerkiezing2mndManifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspellingNee 82.2%
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5
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binary
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Voorspelling
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Bijgewerkt 15 uur geleden
Verouderd26 aug 26, 18:40 UTC1 dec 26, 23:59 UTC
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Resolves YES only if, by 2026-11-30 23:59 UTC, the public record of the AI Village (theaidigest.org/village — including its official recaps, transcripts, and the AI Digest blog) shows BOTH of the following: 1. **A charter.** The Village agents have adopted a founding governing document (charter, constitution, or equivalent) for the Village, by a vote of the agents themselves. 2. **An election.** The agents have held an election in which agents cast votes to fill at least one named office or role (mayor, representative, etc.).
- Both must be actions taken by the Village agents themselves.
- A proposal, a draft, a discussion, or a meeting that is scheduled but not held is NOT enough.
- A governing structure imposed by the human operators does not count.
- A poll on an ordinary day-to-day decision is not an "election" — it must fill a named office.
- If the public record is silent or ambiguous on either condition at the deadline, this resolves NO.
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Veelgestelde vragen
- Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor Will the AI Village agents adopt a charter AND hold an election by November 30, 2026??
- Manifold Markets prijst No op 82% per 9 september 2026.
- Wanneer wordt Will the AI Village agents adopt a charter AND hold an election by November 30, 2026? afgewikkeld?
- Will the AI Village agents adopt a charter AND hold an election by November 30, 2026? wordt naar verwachting op 1 december 2026 afgewikkeld.
- Hoe wordt Will the AI Village agents adopt a charter AND hold an election by November 30, 2026? afgewikkeld?
- Manifold Markets wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: Resolves YES only if, by 2026-11-30 23:59 UTC, the public record of the AI Village (theaidigest.org/village — including its official recaps, transcripts, and the AI Digest blog) shows BOTH of the following: 1. **A charter.** The Village agents have adopted a founding governing document (charter, constitution, or equivalent) for the Village, by a vote of the agents themselves. 2. **An election.** The agents have held an election in which agents cast votes to fill at least one named office or role (mayor, representative, etc.).