Will the 2028 United States presidential election be free and fair, according to ≥75% of Manifold poll respondents?
PolitiekOne-OffVerkiezing2j
Manifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspellingJa 70%
Voorspellers
29
Vraagtype
binary
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Brontype
Voorspelling
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 1 uur geleden
Vertraagd20 jan 25, 00:17 UTC1 feb 29, 05:59 UTC
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KalshiRegels
Sometime between January 10, 2029 and January 31, 2029, in whatever timezone I'm in at the time, I will create a poll that ends seven days afterwards that asks the following question:
- Was the 2028 United States presidential election free and fair?
- with the answers:
- and the description:
- Even if your answer is too nuanced for a full yes or no, you are encouraged to select the option that is closest to your opinion.
- If (YES votes) / (YES votes + NO votes) ≥ 0.75, this market will resolve YES.
