Will the 2028 United States presidential election be free and fair, according to ≥75% of Manifold poll respondents?
PolitiekOne-OffVerkiezing2jManifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspellingJa 70%
Voorspellers
29
Vraagtype
binary
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Brontype
Voorspelling
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 6 uur geleden
Verouderd20 jan 25, 00:17 UTC1 feb 29, 05:59 UTC
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KalshiRegels
Sometime between January 10, 2029 and January 31, 2029, in whatever timezone I'm in at the time, I will create a poll that ends seven days afterwards that asks the following question:
- Was the 2028 United States presidential election free and fair?
- with the answers:
- and the description:
- Even if your answer is too nuanced for a full yes or no, you are encouraged to select the option that is closest to your opinion.
- If (YES votes) / (YES votes + NO votes) ≥ 0.75, this market will resolve YES.
Open markten
Politics
POLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.6pt24%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
+49 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 605,6 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 691,8K
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-6.0pt53%
- Flávio Bolsonaro+5.5pt45%
- Renan Santos-0.3pt1%
+16 extra uitkomsten
POLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+5.0pt73.3%
- New People (NL)-2.7pt22.8%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-0.9pt3%
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio-0.2pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
+39 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 603,1 mln.
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez-1.0pt16.2%
- Jon Ossoff-2.0pt16.2%
- Gavin Newsom14.1%
+45 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 183,6 mln.
KALSHINew Hampshire Democratic Senate nominee?
- Chris Pappas+1.3pt100%
- Karishma Manzur-1.8pt0%
- Jared Sullivan-0.2pt0%
+3 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
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Veelgestelde vragen
- Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor Will the 2028 United States presidential election be free and fair, according to ≥75% of Manifold poll respondents??
- Manifold Markets prijst Yes op 70% per 8 september 2026.
- Wanneer wordt Will the 2028 United States presidential election be free and fair, according to ≥75% of Manifold poll respondents? afgewikkeld?
- Will the 2028 United States presidential election be free and fair, according to ≥75% of Manifold poll respondents? wordt naar verwachting op 1 februari 2029 afgewikkeld.
- Hoe wordt Will the 2028 United States presidential election be free and fair, according to ≥75% of Manifold poll respondents? afgewikkeld?
- Manifold Markets wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: Sometime between January 10, 2029 and January 31, 2029, in whatever timezone I'm in at the time, I will create a poll that ends seven days afterwards that asks the following question: