Huidige gemeenschapsvoorspelling
N = 100 85.1%-8.8ptKoploper van 6 uitkomsten
Voorspellers
87
Vraagtype
multiple choice
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Brontype
Voorspelling
7d wijziging
-6.3 pts
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 17 minuten geleden
2 jun 25, 20:0831 dec 26, 23:59
Trends
Regels
Update 2025-06-12 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The creator has added answer options for the following values of N:
- Update 2025-06-12 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The creator has provided the following definitions for how the market will be resolved:
- A robotaxi service is defined as one where a user can request a ride on-demand, similar to Uber or Lyft.
- It will still count if riders must first join a waitlist.
- The fleet size will be determined by the total number of Teslas used for an autonomous ride by someone other than the owner.
- A vehicle is considered "actively operating" if it provides at least one such ride within any given week.
Open markten
AI
KALSHIWhen will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- Before Mar 1, 2027+2.0pt93%
- Before Dec 1, 2026+4.0pt92%
- Before Jan 1, 2027+3.0pt92%
+7 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 1,3 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 158,8K
GEMINIBTC price on August 21
- $73,000 or above99%
- $74,500 or above99%
- $75,000 or above99%
+36 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 168,8K
- 24u volume
- € 155,2K
POLYMARKETBest Chinese AI Company end of August?
- Alibaba-1.9pt92%
- Company A50%
- Other50%
+22 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
POLYMARKETWill Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
- ↑$1.1T+3.6pt100%
- ↑$1.0T+2.4pt100%
- ↑$1.25T-1.1pt97%
+10 extra uitkomsten
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by __?
- December 31,89%
- October 31,+2.0pt83%
- October 15,-16.0pt53%
+4 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
KALSHIBest AI at the end of 2026?
- Claude-0.8pt68.9%
- Grok-1.7pt10.7%
- ChatGPT-3.6pt8.7%
+5 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 7,9 mln.
- Best AI this week
- Next Mythos-Class Model released by which date?
- OpenAI market share this week
- BMW Championship Winner
- In which month will Anthropic IPO?
- GPT-6 released by which date?
- XRP price on August 21
- Which company has best AI model end of 2026?
- BTC price on August 31
- OpenAI’s Astra released by which date?
- ZEC price on August 21
- Time's Person of the Year for 2026
Veelgestelde vragen
- Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor Will Tesla have a fleet of at least N robotaxis actively operating by the end of 2026??
- Manifold Markets prijst N = 100 op 85% per 21 augustus 2026.
- Wanneer wordt Will Tesla have a fleet of at least N robotaxis actively operating by the end of 2026? afgewikkeld?
- Will Tesla have a fleet of at least N robotaxis actively operating by the end of 2026? wordt naar verwachting op 31 december 2026 afgewikkeld.
- Hoe wordt Will Tesla have a fleet of at least N robotaxis actively operating by the end of 2026? afgewikkeld?
- Manifold Markets wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: Update 2025-06-12 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The creator has added answer options for the following values of N: