Manifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspellingNee 72.8%
Voorspellers
37
Vraagtype
binary
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Brontype
Voorspelling
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 5 minuten geleden
16 okt 26, 20:01 UTC11 okt 27, 15:00 UTC
Trends
Gerelateerde Markten
Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
League City, Texas passes ballot measure approving the police use of Flock Cameras?
PolymarketWill I get a girlfriend before I finish Hatcher?
Manifold MarketsCat girl ears by end of 2029?
Manifold MarketsWill CGP Grey return to Cortex podcast before 2027?
Manifold MarketsWho is Dwarkesh's upcoming "biggest guest yet"?
Manifold MarketsBozeman-area housing units authorized in 2026
KalshiRegels
This market is about Sun, a straight 27 year-old Chinese American man living in Seoul, South Korea.
- See "About Sun" below.
- He appeared in this YouTube video, in which he discusses his thoughts on dating (among other things): https://youtu.be/Mm_NmYdcb9I
- -- Real-money betting market information --
- There is a corresponding real money-market on this question among Sun's friends, with identical rules below.
- As of 10/17/2026, that market is currently trading at