Manifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdWaarschuwing datakwaliteitBrongegevens verslechterd
Gegevens van 26 okt 2026, 06:50 UTC · beleid pm-quality-4
Huidige gemeenschapsvoorspellingJa 55.8%
Voorspellers
2
Vraagtype
binary
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Brontype
Voorspelling
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 5 uur geleden
Verouderd8 apr 26, 14:24 UTC31 mrt 27, 04:00 UTC
Trends
Gerelateerde Markten
Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
Will Sm metal (Western) spot price exceed 50 USD/kg on March 31, 2027?
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Manifold MarketsRegels
This market resolves YES if Sm metal (Western) spot price exceeds 200 USD/kg on March 31, 2027.
- What is being measured: Samarium metal (Sm, 99%+ purity) spot price in the Western market (ex-China Western assessment), USD/kg, on or nearest to March 31, 2027.
- YES if: Western Sm metal spot price >= 200 USD/kg on March 31, 2027 NO if: Western Sm metal spot price < 200 USD/kg on March 31, 2027
- Resolution sources (priority order):
- Argus REE samarium metal — Western assessment
- Asian Metal — samarium metal Western or ex-China prices
