Will SCOTUS rule that gender identity is not a protected class before 2028?
One-OffAmerikaanse politiekRegelgevingPolitiek1j
Manifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspellingJa 72.2%
Voorspellers
27
Vraagtype
binary
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Brontype
Voorspelling
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 9 minuten geleden
30 apr 24, 00:12 UTC1 jan 28, 04:59 UTC
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Manifold MarketsRegels
[tweet]This resolves Yes in the event that SCOTUS strikes down the circuit court’s ruling.
- It resolves No if the supremes uphold or remand the case.
- It could resolve to a percent if there is a peculiar partial agreement that carves out some constitutional protections but not others.
- This market can resolve based on the above case’s lineage, or any very similar case with the same implications.
