Will Scott Alexander write an explainer post about cyborgism/"LLM whisperers" before the end of the year?
AIOne-Off2mnd
Manifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdWaarschuwing datakwaliteitBrongegevens verslechterd
Gegevens van 24 okt 2026, 09:16 UTC · beleid pm-quality-4
Huidige gemeenschapsvoorspellingJa 61.2%
Voorspellers
5
Vraagtype
binary
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Brontype
Voorspelling
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 4 uur geleden
Verouderd28 apr 26, 17:02 UTC31 dec 26, 23:59 UTC
Trends
Gerelateerde Markten
Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
Will Scott Alexander write another post about Lumina before 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill Scott Alexander write a book review of Finnegans Wake?
Manifold MarketsWill Steven Pinker and Scott Alexander have a debate on AI safety in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill Scott Alexander (ACX author) come to Austin and attend or host a public event in 2026?
Manifold MarketsAnthropic announces bankruptcy by which date?
PolymarketAnthropic IPO by which date?
PolymarketRegels
The post has to be specifically about the cluster of people who are mostly researching LLM preferences/behaviors in an unconventional way (advocating for the preservation of access to older models, evaluating their well-being, running act i-like discords and similar) Examples of people in this cluster: janus, anthrupad, aitechnopagan, tessera_antra
