Will Scott Alexander be the subject of a public scandal within his social circle before 2030?
One-OffSociety & Culture3j
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Nee 90%
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29
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binary
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Bijgewerkt 3 uur geleden
Verouderd21 nov 22, 15:35 UTC1 jan 30, 05:00 UTC
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This doesn't count a scandal like the NYT article, since most people within Scott's communities were in favor of Scott.
- It must be something where a significant number of Scott's friends, readers, and/or professional aquaintances are angry at him or want to stop associating with him.
- It must also be public enough that I hear about it through public channels.
- This is part of a group of markets on Scott Alexander with slightly different resolution criteria, made with the intention of figuring out which structure is best.
- For an overview and discussion, see here.
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Veelgestelde vragen
- Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor Will Scott Alexander be the subject of a public scandal within his social circle before 2030??
- Manifold Markets prijst No op 90% per 8 september 2026.
- Wanneer wordt Will Scott Alexander be the subject of a public scandal within his social circle before 2030? afgewikkeld?
- Will Scott Alexander be the subject of a public scandal within his social circle before 2030? wordt naar verwachting op 1 januari 2030 afgewikkeld.
- Hoe wordt Will Scott Alexander be the subject of a public scandal within his social circle before 2030? afgewikkeld?
- Manifold Markets wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: This doesn't count a scandal like the NYT article, since most people within Scott's communities were in favor of Scott.