Will Sangdong mine output exceed 20% of non-Chinese tungsten supply on April 1, 2027?
GrondstoffenOne-OffChina5mndManifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdWaarschuwing datakwaliteitBrongegevens verslechterd
Gegevens van 22 okt 2026, 03:05 UTC · beleid pm-quality-4
Huidige gemeenschapsvoorspellingNee 69.2%
Voorspellers
1
Vraagtype
binary
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Brontype
Voorspelling
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 11 uur geleden
Verouderd2 mrt 26, 18:11 UTC1 apr 27, 18:10 UTC
Trends
Regels
Resolves YES if Sangdong mine's reported tungsten mine production accounts for more than 20% of the total global tungsten mine supply excluding China on April 1, 2027.
- Resolution will rely on authoritative production data from Almonty Industries' official reports and USGS Mineral Commodity Summaries or equivalent industry publications available closest to the settlement date.
- Given Sangdong's commercial production start in early 2026 and its target to supply a substantial share of non-Chinese tungsten, this threshold reflects a critical milestone for supply chain diversification away from China.
- Only primary mine production counts; recycled tungsten or refined APT volumes do not count towards this metric.
- The capacity of Sangdong to significantly alter the non-Chinese tungsten supply landscape is critical for market balance.
- Source: Article
