Will Sam Altman be alive on the day strong AGI is publicly unveiled?

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Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor Will Sam Altman be alive on the day strong AGI is publicly unveiled??

Manifold Markets prijst Yes op 90% per 28 oktober 2026.

Wanneer wordt Will Sam Altman be alive on the day strong AGI is publicly unveiled? afgewikkeld?

Will Sam Altman be alive on the day strong AGI is publicly unveiled? wordt naar verwachting op 1 januari 2041 afgewikkeld.

Hoe wordt Will Sam Altman be alive on the day strong AGI is publicly unveiled? afgewikkeld?

Manifold Markets wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: To determine if AGI is achieved we will use a combination of other markets / mainstream news / Manifold poll if need be

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KALSHI

When will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?

• Before Apr 1, 202796.5%
• Before Mar 1, 202795%
• Before Feb 1, 2027+1.0pt93%

+9 extra uitkomsten

Totaal volume

€ 3,7 mln.

24u volume

€ 107,7K

POLYMARKET

Anthropic IPO by which date?

• December 31,+1.4pt95%
• December 15,+1.5pt93%
• November 30,-1.5pt88%

+15 extra uitkomsten

POLYMARKET

Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap

• $1.75–$2.0T+3.0pt32%
• $2.0–$2.25T+0.8pt22.3%
• $1.5–$1.75T16.5%

+7 extra uitkomsten

KALSHI

Best AI at the end of 2026?

• Claude+0.1pt59%
• Gemini-0.7pt30.1%
• ChatGPT+1.0pt

POLYMARKET

Which company has the best AI model end of October?

• Google+7.5pt98%
• Anthropic-6.6pt2%
• Alibaba-0.1pt0%

+18 extra uitkomsten

POLYMARKET

What will OpenAI's IPO valuation be?

• <$1T-5.9pt25%
• $1.25T–$1.5T-0.3pt19.8%
• $1.5T–$1.75T-3.3pt16.7%

+5 extra uitkomsten

• Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by which date?
• Which company has best AI model end of 2026?
• How much will Anthropic raise in its IPO?
• Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
• Best Chinese AI Company end of October?
• Which bank will lead Anthropic's IPO?
• GPT Astra 6.1+ released by which date?
• OpenAI announces another Millennium Prize solution by which date?
• Moonshot AI share of spend on Oct 28, 2026 (Vercel)
• Best AI in Oct 2026?