Will Sahra Wagenknecht Alliance get at least 5% in the next Bundestag election?
PolitiekOne-OffVerkiezingEuropa2j
Manifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdWaarschuwing datakwaliteitBrongegevens verslechterd
Gegevens van 26 okt 2026, 17:47 UTC · beleid pm-quality-4
Huidige gemeenschapsvoorspellingNee 89.5%
Voorspellers
11
Vraagtype
binary
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Brontype
Voorspelling
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 1 minuut geleden
13 apr 26, 14:28 UTC5 mrt 29, 07:59 UTC
Trends
Gerelateerde Markten
Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
Will credible evidence emerge linking Sahra Wagenknecht to Putin before 2030?
Manifold MarketsIf the AfD enters the federal government after the next Bundestag election, will §86a StGB be repealed or altered?
Manifold MarketsWill the Alternative for Germany become the biggest party in the 2029 German Bundestag elections?
Manifold MarketsThe next new party to enter the German federal parliament (the Bundestag) will be an Islamic party. 🇩🇪🏛️☪️
Manifold MarketsNext French Presidential Election
PolymarketNext Prime Minister of Sweden
PolymarketRegels
Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Sahra Wagenknecht Alliance (BSW) receives at least 5% of the party list votes ("Zweitstimme") in the next German federal election.
- It will resolve to "No" otherwise.
- The official result will be determined by the Federal Returning Officer (Die Bundeswahlleiterin).
- Verification can be made via the official website at https://www.bundeswahlleiterin.de/.
- If the party meets the threshold through winning three constituencies despite failing the 5% party list vote, the market will still resolve to "Yes."
