Will Sahra Wagenknecht Alliance get at least 5% in the next Bundestag election?
PolitiekOne-OffVerkiezingEurope2jManifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspellingNee 89.5%
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11
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binary
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Voorspelling
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 14 uur geleden
Verouderd13 apr 26, 14:28 UTC5 mrt 29, 07:59 UTC
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Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Sahra Wagenknecht Alliance (BSW) receives at least 5% of the party list votes ("Zweitstimme") in the next German federal election.
- It will resolve to "No" otherwise.
- The official result will be determined by the Federal Returning Officer (Die Bundeswahlleiterin).
- Verification can be made via the official website at https://www.bundeswahlleiterin.de/.
- If the party meets the threshold through winning three constituencies despite failing the 5% party list vote, the market will still resolve to "Yes."
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Veelgestelde vragen
- Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor Will Sahra Wagenknecht Alliance get at least 5% in the next Bundestag election??
- Manifold Markets prijst No op 90% per 8 september 2026.
- Wanneer wordt Will Sahra Wagenknecht Alliance get at least 5% in the next Bundestag election? afgewikkeld?
- Will Sahra Wagenknecht Alliance get at least 5% in the next Bundestag election? wordt naar verwachting op 5 maart 2029 afgewikkeld.
- Hoe wordt Will Sahra Wagenknecht Alliance get at least 5% in the next Bundestag election? afgewikkeld?
- Manifold Markets wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: Resolution criteria