Will "Requiem for the hopes of a pre-AI world" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?

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Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor Will "Requiem for the hopes of a pre-AI world" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review??

Manifold Markets prijst No op 90.8% per 17 oktober 2026.

Wanneer wordt Will "Requiem for the hopes of a pre-AI world" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review? afgewikkeld?

Will "Requiem for the hopes of a pre-AI world" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review? wordt naar verwachting op 1 februari 2027 afgewikkeld.

Hoe wordt Will "Requiem for the hopes of a pre-AI world" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review? afgewikkeld?

Manifold Markets wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: As part of LessWrong's Annual Review, the community nominates, writes reviews, and votes on the most valuable posts.

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KALSHI

OpenAI market share this week

• Above 17.1%+3.0pt99.5%
• Above 15.1%99.5%
• Above 18.1%+64.0pt92%

+6 extra uitkomsten

Totaal volume

€ 313K

24u volume

€ 109,9K

KALSHI

DeepSeek market share this week

• Above 21.7%99.5%
• Above 23.2%+12.0pt97.5%
• Above 23.9%-16.0pt67%

POLYMARKET

Which company has the best AI model end of October?

• Google+5.0pt77%
• Anthropic-3.5pt22%
• OpenAI-0.1pt1%

+18 extra uitkomsten

POLYMARKET

Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap

• $1.75–$2.0T+1.0pt27.2%
• $2.0–$2.25T-2.5pt20.4%
• $1.5–$1.75T-1.9pt15.5%

+7 extra uitkomsten

KALSHI

Best AI this week

• Gemini+3.0pt99.5%
• Claude-6.0pt0.5%
• Grok1.5%

POLYMARKET

OpenAI announces another Millennium Prize solution by which date?

• 2027-1.0pt51%
• 2026-1.0pt14%

+1 extra uitkomsten

Totaal volume

€ 817,1K

24u volume

€ 46,1K

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