Huidige gemeenschapsvoorspelling
Ja 81.6%
Ja 81.6%Voorspellers
10
Vraagtype
binary
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Brontype
Voorspelling
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 17 uur geleden
Verouderd26 apr 23, 17:23 UTC26 apr 28, 23:59 UTC
Trends
Gerelateerde Markten
Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
Will I still work on alignment research at Redwood Research in 5 years?
Manifold MarketsWill "The inaugural Redwood Research podcast" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review?
Manifold MarketsWhat percentage of their expenses will Redwood Research allocate to each program area in 2027?
Manifold MarketsWhat percentage of their expenses will Redwood Research allocate to each program area in 2025?
Manifold MarketsBest AI at the end of 2026?
KalshiWhich company has the best AI model end of October?
PolymarketRegels
Resolves to NO if an organization called Redwood Research still exists, but has 1 or fewer employees working full time on alignment research.