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Play-money forecasting platform
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Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 11 uur geleden
Verouderd18 feb 24, 05:12 UTC2 jan 30, 07:59 UTC
Trends
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Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
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Manifold MarketsRegels
This market resolves YES if, by January 1, 2030, I can prompt a text-to-video generator to create a 1 minute video and get a result meeting the following criteria:
- I have to wait no more than one second for the video to load (either at the beginning or anywhere in the middle)
- At least 1080p resolution
- At least 24 frames per second
- Subjectively, at least as realistic and visually appealing as the "stylish woman walks down a Tokyo street" example from Sora
- If I wanted to, I could do this 100 times on the same day and pay less than $20 (this accounts for various pricing schemes, e.g. subscription-based or pay-per-video)
Open markten
SportsKALSHISabalenka vs Noskova
- Aryna Sabalenka+6.0pt74.5%
- Linda Noskova-5.0pt25.5%
- Totaal volume
- € 12,2 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 11,2 mln.
POLYMARKETCounter-Strike: G2 vs Astralis (BO3) - FISSURE PLAYGROUND Group A
- 2 Winner+33.0pt100%
- O/U 2.5 Games+57.0pt100%
- 1 Rounds Handicap: Astralis (-3.5) vs G2 (+3.5)100%
+29 extra uitkomsten
POLYMARKETUEFA Champions League: 2027 Champion
- Barcelona18.1%
- Arsenal15.2%
- Paris Saint-Germain13.3%
+33 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 24 mln.
ROBINHOOD (ROTHERA)Aryna Sabalenka vs Linda Noskova Quarter Finals match
- Aryna Sabalenka72.6%
- Linda Noskova27.4%
- Totaal volume
- € 15,6K
- 24u volume
- € 1,9 mln.
KALSHIUS Open Men's Singles Winner
- Carlos Alcaraz57%
- Alexander Zverev+5.0pt26%
- Ben Shelton9%
+45 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 24,1 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 1,9 mln.
KALSHIClub Brugge vs Aston Villa
- Aston Villa+49.0pt87.1%
- Tie-17.0pt9.9%
- Club Brugge-31.0pt3%
- Totaal volume
- € 2,1 mln.
- BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. Villarreal CF
- US Open WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs Linda Noskova
- Tiafoe vs Michelsen
- Genoa: Thiago Seyboth Wild vs Francesco Ferrari
- United Arab Emirates vs Bangladesh
- 2027 Pro Football Champion
- MLB: Chicago Cubs vs Milwaukee Brewers (Sep 7, 2026)
- MLB: New York Mets vs Miami Marlins (Sep 7, 2026)
- Amgen Irish Open Winner
- MLB: Arizona Diamondbacks vs Kansas City Royals (Sep 7, 2026)
- Real Madrid vs Inter
- US Open ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Alex Michelsen
Veelgestelde vragen
- Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor Will real-time text-to-video generation be viable by 2030??
- Manifold Markets prijst Yes op 95% per 8 september 2026.
- Wanneer wordt Will real-time text-to-video generation be viable by 2030? afgewikkeld?
- Will real-time text-to-video generation be viable by 2030? wordt naar verwachting op 2 januari 2030 afgewikkeld.
- Hoe wordt Will real-time text-to-video generation be viable by 2030? afgewikkeld?
- Manifold Markets wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: This market resolves YES if, by January 1, 2030, I can prompt a text-to-video generator to create a 1 minute video and get a result meeting the following criteria: