Manifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspellingJa 84.5%
Voorspellers
9
Vraagtype
binary
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Brontype
Voorspelling
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 11 uur geleden
Verouderd7 dec 25, 01:08 UTC31 dec 26, 23:59 UTC
Trends
Gerelateerde Markten
Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
Will an artwork sell for $150 million by December 31?
PolymarketWill Balatro sell over 20 million copies by the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill there exist popular smart glasses with LLM integration by 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill a Magic the Gathering card sell for $5 Million USD or more before the end of 2027?
Manifold MarketsWhen will Apple release the iPhone 18?
KalshiBTC price on Sep 11, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
KalshiRegels
Ray-Ban Meta smart glasses have sold over 2 million units to date (as of late 2025), and EssilorLuxottica has announced plans to scale production to 10 million units per year by the end of 2026.
- But production capacity isn’t the same as actual consumer demand — and analysts are split on whether smart glasses are about to explode into mainstream adoption or remain a niche AI gadget.
- This market resolves YES if publicly verifiable data shows that cumulative global sales of Ray-Ban Meta smart glasses reach or exceed 10,000,000 units by December 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET.
- Accepted sources include Meta investor reports, EssilorLuxottica earnings, Reuters/Bloomberg reporting, or other reputable industry analytics that report unit sales (not shipments).
- If no reliable source reports the number by the resolution date, the market resolves NO.
Open markten
TechKALSHIBTC price on Sep 11, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $69,000 or above99%
- $68,500 or above+1.0pt98%
- $73,000 or above-1.0pt98%
+47 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 1,5 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 318,3K
KALSHIWhen will Apple release the iPhone 18?
- Before April 2027-6.0pt69.5%
- Before March 2027+1.0pt18.1%
- Before February 20275.7%
+2 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
KALSHIBTC price on Sep 10, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $74,750 or above99%
- $72,000 or above99%
- $75,250 or above99%
+77 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 317,4K
- 24u volume
- € 300,3K
POLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets September 4 - September 11, 2026?
- 160-179+22.0pt51.5%
- 180-199-8.0pt26.7%
- 140-159+3.8pt15.8%
+23 extra uitkomsten
POLYMARKETWill Apple release a foldable iPhone by which date?
- October 31+2.8pt99%
- December 31+2.9pt99%
- September 30-6.5pt1%
+3 extra uitkomsten
POLYMARKETWhich company has the best AI model end of September?
- Anthropic89%
- OpenAI+0.1pt9%
- Google-0.2pt2%
+18 extra uitkomsten
- Highest temperature in Los Angeles on Sep 9, 2026?
- Best AI at the end of 2026?
- Bitcoin price at the end of 2026
- Highest temperature in San Francisco on Sep 9, 2026?
- Where will it rain on Sep 10, 2026?
- Highest temperature in Los Angeles on Sep 10, 2026?
- SpaceX (SPCX) Up or Down - Daily
- When will Apple Inc. release the iPhone 18 Pro?
- ETH price on Sep 10, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- Will Apple release iPhone 18 in 2026?
- Highest temperature in Phoenix on Sep 9, 2026?
- Highest temperature in Las Vegas on Sep 9, 2026?
Veelgestelde vragen
- Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor Will Ray-Ban Meta smart glasses sell at least 10 million units by December 31, 2026??
- Manifold Markets prijst Yes op 85% per 9 september 2026.
- Wanneer wordt Will Ray-Ban Meta smart glasses sell at least 10 million units by December 31, 2026? afgewikkeld?
- Will Ray-Ban Meta smart glasses sell at least 10 million units by December 31, 2026? wordt naar verwachting op 31 december 2026 afgewikkeld.
- Hoe wordt Will Ray-Ban Meta smart glasses sell at least 10 million units by December 31, 2026? afgewikkeld?
- Manifold Markets wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: Ray-Ban Meta smart glasses have sold over 2 million units to date (as of late 2025), and EssilorLuxottica has announced plans to scale production to 10 million units per year by the end of 2026.