Manifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspellingNee 91.1%
Voorspellers
11
Vraagtype
binary
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Brontype
Voorspelling
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 4 uur geleden
Verouderd14 mrt 26, 21:10 UTC31 dec 29, 23:59 UTC
Trends
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Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
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Resolution Criteria
- This market resolves to YES if Poland officially completes its withdrawal from the European Union (per Article 50 of the TEU) before January 1, 2030.
- Resolution requires either a ratified withdrawal agreement or the expiration of the two-year notification period.
- The market resolves to NO if Poland remains a member state through December 31, 2029.
- Market Background: The 2026 Crisis
- While the 2023 elections brought a pro-EU coalition to power under Donald Tusk, the political landscape shifted dramatically following the June 2025 Presidential Election.
Open markten
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Veelgestelde vragen
- Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor Will Poland leave European Union before 2030??
- Manifold Markets prijst No op 91% per 9 september 2026.
- Wanneer wordt Will Poland leave European Union before 2030? afgewikkeld?
- Will Poland leave European Union before 2030? wordt naar verwachting op 31 december 2029 afgewikkeld.
- Hoe wordt Will Poland leave European Union before 2030? afgewikkeld?
- Manifold Markets wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: Resolution Criteria