Will "Please Donate to CAIP (Post 1 of 6 on AI Gove..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?

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Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor Will "Please Donate to CAIP (Post 1 of 6 on AI Gove..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review??

Manifold Markets prijst No op 87.8% per 26 oktober 2026.

Wanneer wordt Will "Please Donate to CAIP (Post 1 of 6 on AI Gove..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review? afgewikkeld?

Will "Please Donate to CAIP (Post 1 of 6 on AI Gove..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review? wordt naar verwachting op 1 februari 2027 afgewikkeld.

Hoe wordt Will "Please Donate to CAIP (Post 1 of 6 on AI Gove..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review? afgewikkeld?

Manifold Markets wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: As part of LessWrong's Annual Review, the community nominates, writes reviews, and votes on the most valuable posts.

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POLYMARKET

Anthropic IPO by which date?

• December 31,+19.0pt95%
• December 15,+21.0pt94%
• November 30,+39.5pt93%

+9 extra uitkomsten

Totaal volume

€ 5,2 mln.

24u volume

€ 307,4K

KALSHI

When will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?

• Before Feb 1, 2027+11.0pt94%
• Before Apr 1, 2027+4.0pt96.5%
• Before Mar 1, 2027+6.0pt

POLYMARKET

Which company has the best AI model end of October?

• Google-3.8pt88.7%
• Anthropic+1.8pt10.3%
• OpenAI+0.5pt1%

+18 extra uitkomsten

POLYMARKET

Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap

• $1.75–$2.0T27.9%
• $2.0–$2.25T+2.3pt20.2%
• $1.5–$1.75T-0.3pt17.3%

+7 extra uitkomsten

KALSHI

Best AI at the end of 2026?

• Claude-0.1pt55.3%
• Gemini-2.4pt32.1%
• ChatGPT-0.4pt

POLYMARKET

What will Anthropic's public ticker be?

• $ANT+45.9pt99%
• $ANTH-27.4pt1%
• $AAI-8.9pt0%

+6 extra uitkomsten

• Which company has best AI model end of 2026?
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• Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
• What will OpenAI's IPO valuation be?
• Next Fable Model (5.2+) released on?
• GPT Astra 6.1+: HLE-Diamond Debut?
• Best AI this week
• Which bank will lead Anthropic's IPO?
• Open vs. Closed Token Volume (open weights share) in Oct 26, 2026
• Best AI in Oct 2026?