Manifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspellingNee 91.3%
Voorspellers
4
Vraagtype
binary
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Brontype
Voorspelling
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 3 uur geleden
Verouderd3 mei 24, 12:09 UTC1 jan 27, 04:59 UTC
Trends
Gerelateerde Markten
Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
Will the population of the USA decline in the year 2050?
Manifold MarketsWill U.S. meat consumption decline by 50%+ by 2040?
Manifold MarketsWill I find a wife by the end of 2027?
Manifold MarketsWho will be accepted to join the Fire Department for the September round?
Manifold MarketsWill Clavicular wear a Yarmulke in 2026?
PolymarketWill Marriages/Civil Unions with 3+ people be legally recognized in five or more states by January 1st 2029?
Manifold MarketsRegels
According to Pew Research Center, using survey data from April 2023, 62% of Americans own a pet.
- https://www.pewresearch.org/short-reads/2023/07/07/about-half-us-of-pet-owners-say-their-pets-are-as-much-a-part-of-their-family-as-a-human-member/
- When Pew Research surveys this question in 2025 or 2026, will the number decline?
- Fractional percentages will be rounded to the nearest percentage.
- If the percentage of US pet owners is 61% or lower, this question resolves YES; otherwise NO.
- If Pew Research Center does not survey this question in 2025 or 2026, I will instead attempt to use data from the American Pet Products Association.
