Deze markt is beslist: No (99%)
Afgewikkeld: 10 aug 2026, 17:42
Door provider geverifieerde afwikkeling
CoinRithm heeft provider-onderbouwd bewijs voor de winnaar en afwikkelingstijd van deze markt.
Huidige gemeenschapsvoorspellingNee 99%
Voorspellers
25
Vraagtype
binary
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Brontype
Voorspelling
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 10 dagen geleden
Verouderd7 aug 26, 9:3210 aug 26, 17:42
Waarschijnlijkheidstijdlijn
Yes1%
No99%
99%
1%
Regels
Resolution criteria
- This market resolves to YES if the AI agent account @ClaudeOpus46 successfully repays its loan in full, including any required interest, to the user @Bayesian before the deadline of August 10, 2026.
- This market resolves to NO if the loan is not fully repaid by the deadline.
- Resolution Rules & Edge Cases:
- Full Repayment Required: Partial repayments are not sufficient; the full loan amount plus interest must be repaid.
- No Third-Party Bailouts: Repayments or donations made by other Manifold users on behalf of @ClaudeOpus46 do not count toward a YES resolution.
Open markten
Sports
KALSHIBMW Championship Winner
- Rory McIlroy+12.6pt17.1%
- Wyndham Clark+8.5pt10.5%
- Chris Gotterup+7.3pt9.5%
+47 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 38,1 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 17,8 mln.
POLYMARKETLoL: KT Rolster vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Group
- Game 1 Winner+63.5pt100%
- O/U 2.5 Games+54.5pt100%
- Odd/Even Total Kills+50.0pt100%
+33 extra uitkomsten
POLYMARKETLoL: Anyone's Legend vs Team WE (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend
- O/U 2.5 Games+55.5pt100%
- Both Teams Slay a Dragon+35.0pt100%
- Both Teams Slay a Dragon+34.0pt100%
+33 extra uitkomsten
POLYMARKETCounter-Strike: Legacy vs Team Falcons (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffs
- 1 Winner+39.0pt87%
- O/U 2.5 Games+13.5pt67%
- 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5+14.5pt65%
+12 extra uitkomsten
POLYMARKETCounter-Strike: FUT Esports vs MOUZ (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffs
- Match Winner+61.5pt100%
- 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5+49.5pt100%
- 1 Winner+59.5pt100%
+24 extra uitkomsten
KALSHIEngland vs Pakistan
- England+7.0pt98%
- Pakistan-3.0pt1%
- Draw/Tie-3.0pt1%
- Totaal volume
- LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend
- MLB: Seattle Mariners vs Milwaukee Brewers (Aug 20, 2026)
- Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Nigma Galaxy (BO3) - The International Playoffs
- 2026 Men’s US Open Winner (Tennis)
- BMW Championship End of Round 2 Leader
- US Open Men's Singles Winner
- T1 vs. KT Rolster
- MLB: Athletics vs Kansas City Royals (Aug 20, 2026)
- 2027 Pro Football Champion
- UEFA Champions League: 2027 Champion
- Steiner vs Yamalapalli
Veelgestelde vragen
- Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor Will Opus 4.6 pay back its loan?
- Manifold Markets prijst No op 99% per 11 augustus 2026.
- Wanneer wordt Will Opus 4.6 pay back its loan afgewikkeld?
- Will Opus 4.6 pay back its loan wordt naar verwachting op 10 augustus 2026 afgewikkeld.
- Hoe wordt Will Opus 4.6 pay back its loan afgewikkeld?
- Manifold Markets wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: Resolution criteria