Manifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspellingNee 94.9%
Voorspellers
36
Vraagtype
binary
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Brontype
Voorspelling
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 4 uur geleden
Verouderd21 apr 26, 14:05 UTC20 okt 27, 23:59 UTC
Trends
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KalshiRegels
Seb Mallaby says "there's a 50% chance that OpenAI goes bankrupt in the next 18mos":
Open markten
AIKALSHITop AI model in September?
- claude-fable-5.1-max-12.0pt72%
- claude-opus-5-high+2.0pt6%
- claude-opus-4-6-thinking4%
+3 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
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- 24u volume
- € 102,7K
POLYMARKETWill CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by which date?
- 2028+6.5pt62.1%
- 2027-3.5pt28.4%
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- December 31,-1.0pt90%
- December 15,+3.5pt90%
- November 30,85%
+7 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
KALSHIBest AI at the end of 2026?
- Claude-0.7pt61.4%
- ChatGPT-2.1pt22.8%
- Grok-0.1pt7.9%
+5 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 9,1 mln.
KALSHIBest AI in Sep 2026?
- Claude+3.0pt81.3%
- ChatGPT-1.0pt11.2%
- Grok2.8%
+4 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 325K
POLYMARKETOpenAI’s Astra Model: Text Arena Debut?
- 1480+-2.5pt66%
- 1490+-9.0pt51%
- 1500+-3.0pt23%
+2 extra uitkomsten
- Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
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- Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
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Veelgestelde vragen
- Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor Will OpenAI go bankrupt before October 21, 2027??
- Manifold Markets prijst No op 95% per 8 september 2026.
- Wanneer wordt Will OpenAI go bankrupt before October 21, 2027? afgewikkeld?
- Will OpenAI go bankrupt before October 21, 2027? wordt naar verwachting op 20 oktober 2027 afgewikkeld.
- Hoe wordt Will OpenAI go bankrupt before October 21, 2027? afgewikkeld?
- Manifold Markets wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: Seb Mallaby says "there's a 50% chance that OpenAI goes bankrupt in the next 18mos":