Will OFAC sanction a mainland Chinese bank for facilitating Iranian trade by September 30, 2026?
Obligaties en staatsleningenOne-OffGeopolitiekMidden-OostenChinaManifold MarketsGeslotenGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdDeze markt is beslist: No (99%)
Afgewikkeld: 30 sep 2026, 20:28
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Waarschuwing datakwaliteitVerouderde gegevens
Gegevens van 30 sep 2026, 23:41 UTC · beleid pm-quality-4
Waarschijnlijkheidstijdlijn
Yes1%
No99%
Gewonnen
Verloren
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Resolves YES if, by 11:59 PM ET on September 30, 2026, the U.S. Treasury's OFAC newly designates a bank headquartered in mainland China and the designation explicitly cites facilitating trade with Iran or Iranian oil.
- Otherwise resolves NO.
- Designations of non-bank companies, Hong Kong-only entities, or banks designated solely for unrelated conduct do not count.
- Primary source: OFAC sanctions programs and press releases.
- The market closes 12 hours before the deadline.
