Manifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspellingNee 97.5%
Voorspellers
19
Vraagtype
binary
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Brontype
Voorspelling
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 15 uur geleden
Verouderd16 dec 25, 15:32 UTC18 jan 29, 23:59 UTC
Trends
Gerelateerde Markten
Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
Regels
Resolution Criteria
- This market resolves YES if Nick Reiner receives a presidential pardon from Donald Trump before the end of Trump's current term in office.
- Resolution will be confirmed via official White House announcements or the Federal Register's pardon list.
- The market resolves NO if Trump's term ends without a pardon being issued.
Open markten
US Politics
POLYMARKETDemocratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez-0.3pt18%
- Jon Ossoff16%
- Gavin Newsom-0.7pt15%
+48 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 1,1 mld.
- 24u volume
- € 2,1 mln.
POLYMARKETVenezuela leader end of 2026?
- Nicolás Maduro-32.6pt51.5%
- Delcy Rodríguez+35.5pt47.5%
- No Head of State-0.3pt1%
+13 extra uitkomsten
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance51%
- Marco Rubio+0.3pt16%
- Ron DeSantis-0.1pt3%
+39 extra uitkomsten
POLYMARKETUS-Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- September 2097%
- September 25-7.5pt84%
- September 30-3.5pt77%
+3 extra uitkomsten
KALSHIWhich party will win the U.S. House?
- Democratic Party+0.5pt90.1%
- Republican Party-1.3pt9.9%
- Totaal volume
- € 29,2 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 621,3K
POLYMARKETClarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- No+2.0pt94%
- Yes-2.0pt6%
- Totaal volume
- € 19,6 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 488,1K
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- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
- 2028 Republican presidential nominee
- Trump out as President by September 30?
- Which party will win the House in 2026?
- Los Angeles Mayor winner?
- Trump x Greenland deal signed by which date?
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
Veelgestelde vragen
- Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor Will Nick Reiner be pardoned by Trump??
- Manifold Markets prijst No op 98% per 20 september 2026.
- Wanneer wordt Will Nick Reiner be pardoned by Trump? afgewikkeld?
- Will Nick Reiner be pardoned by Trump? wordt naar verwachting op 18 januari 2029 afgewikkeld.
- Hoe wordt Will Nick Reiner be pardoned by Trump? afgewikkeld?
- Manifold Markets wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: Resolution Criteria