Huidige gemeenschapsvoorspelling
Nee 88.1%
Voorspellers
16
Vraagtype
binary
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Brontype
Voorspelling
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 13 uur geleden
Verouderd4 feb 23, 00:20 UTC1 jan 28, 07:59 UTC
Trends
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Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
Will Pope Leo XIV cite in his text Nick Bostrom before 2028?
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KalshiRegels
Nick Bostrom, director of the Future of Humanity Institute.
- This is one of a series of markets regarding whether select individuals or organizations will become Manifold users and create at least one market by the end of 2027 (~5 years).
- The time period is intentionally long, as these markets measure both (i) the propensity of the given person/organization to join Manifold, and (ii) Manifold's anticipated adoption by the public over time.
- To resolve positively, I must be reasonably confident that the Manifold account really is the entity they purport to be.
Open markten
SportsKALSHIPHI Eagles vs TEN Titans
- Philadelphia+2.0pt77.2%
- Tennessee-1.0pt22.8%
- Totaal volume
- € 5,6 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 4,4 mln.
POLYMARKETLoL: G2 Esports vs Movistar KOI (BO5) - LEC Playoffs
- Game 1 Winner100%
- Game 2 Winner100%
- Game 3 Winner100%
+58 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 3,1 mln.
KALSHIMIN Vikings vs CHI Bears
- Chicago-4.0pt62.4%
- Minnesota+4.0pt37.6%
- Totaal volume
- € 3,3 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 2,7 mln.
KALSHIBiltmore Championship Asheville Winner
- Jacob Bridgeman+27.4pt32%
- Neal Shipley-18.0pt27%
- Ricky Castillo+12.0pt22%
+97 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
KALSHIGB Packers vs NY Jets
- Green Bay61.4%
- New York J38.6%
- Totaal volume
- € 2,8 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 2,4 mln.
KALSHI2027 Pro Football Champion
- Buffalo11%
- Los Angeles R9.3%
- Baltimore6.8%
+29 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 104,4 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 2,3 mln.
- PIT Steelers vs NE Patriots
- Philadelphia vs Tennessee: Spread
- Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Vitality (BO5) - StarLadder StarSeries Playoffs
- CIN Bengals vs HOU Texans
- Herrero Linana vs Burel
- Dota 2: Pipsqueak+4 vs Yakult Brothers (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage
- CAR Panthers vs ATL Falcons
- Green Bay vs New York J: Spread
- Jaguars vs. Broncos
- College Football National Championship Winner
- Philadelphia vs Tennessee: Touchdowns
- Carolina vs Atlanta: Spread
Veelgestelde vragen
- Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor Will Nick Bostrom create a market on Manifold by end of 2027??
- Manifold Markets prijst No op 88% per 20 september 2026.
- Wanneer wordt Will Nick Bostrom create a market on Manifold by end of 2027? afgewikkeld?
- Will Nick Bostrom create a market on Manifold by end of 2027? wordt naar verwachting op 1 januari 2028 afgewikkeld.
- Hoe wordt Will Nick Bostrom create a market on Manifold by end of 2027? afgewikkeld?
- Manifold Markets wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: Nick Bostrom, director of the Future of Humanity Institute.