Will members of the EA community create an EA-focused university by 2030?
One-OffSamenleving en cultuur4jManifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdWaarschuwing datakwaliteitBrongegevens verslechterd
Gegevens van 26 okt 2026, 09:52 UTC · beleid pm-quality-4
Huidige gemeenschapsvoorspellingNee 87.2%
Voorspellers
37
Vraagtype
binary
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Brontype
Voorspelling
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 8 uur geleden
Verouderd1 nov 22, 14:37 UTC1 jan 31, 07:59 UTC
Trends
Gerelateerde Markten
Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
Will EA community deploy and actively use a DAO by 2027?
Manifold MarketsThe EA community will have a major split/conflict between progressive and rationalist EAs before 2030.
Manifold MarketsParis curfew effectively lifted by which date?
PolymarketTurner Prize 2026 Winner
PolymarketLyon curfew effectively lifted by which date?
PolymarketWill Clavicular wear a Yarmulke in 2026?
PolymarketRegels
Resolves positively if members of the effective altruism community create a university that, as an explicit mission, has values / degrees that are focused in achieving goals considered part of the effective altruism worldview.
- Effective altruism need not be specifically mentioned, but I will use my subjective judgement if need be to determine whether the newly-created university is sufficiently EA-coded to merit a Yes resolution.
- 2023-01-07: I sold my shares and will no longer be trading in this market to avoid resolution conflict-of-interests.
