Huidige gemeenschapsvoorspelling
Nee 71.5%
Voorspellers
6
Vraagtype
binary
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Brontype
Voorspelling
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 2 uur geleden
Verouderd1 okt 26, 10:45 UTC15 okt 26, 22:59 UTC
Trends
Gerelateerde Markten
Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
Will "Announcing the ARC White-Box Estimation Challenge" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review?
Manifold MarketsTop coding AI this month (DeepSWE)
KalshiWho will be the 2026 ATP Tour Year End #1 Tennis Player?
Manifold MarketsWill Grok 5 beat the best human team at League of Legends in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWhich AI company will have the best coding model at the end of 2026?
KalshiWill Grok AI beat T1 in 2026?
PolymarketRegels
Leaderboard: https://www.aicrowd.com/challenges/arc-white-box-estimation-challenge-2026/leaderboards?round=phase-2
- Winning is defined as getting 1st place in the final phase (phase 2) of the competition linked above. "1st place" here means on the final private evaluation the decides the prize money.
- "Marius Binner" is defined as this account: https://www.aicrowd.com/participants/marius_binner