Will Magic Kingdom have a fireworks show every night from August 12 to September 10?”
WeatherOne-OffEntertainment2dManifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspellingNee 53.6%
Voorspellers
8
Vraagtype
binary
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Brontype
Voorspelling
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 5 minuten geleden
11 aug 26, 23:47 UTC10 sep 26, 23:59 UTC
Trends
Gerelateerde Markten
Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
Weekly Biden Death Markets [August 23 - September 19, 2026]
Manifold MarketsDay and Night: First Week Streams
KalshiCarly Rae Jepsen 'Day and Night' First Week Album Sales?
PolymarketDay and Night: First Week Pure Album Sales
KalshiWho will be featured on 'Day and Night' by Carly Rae Jepsen?
KalshiWhich U.S. late-night show host will still be hosting their show by Dec 2028, given recent firings and suspensions.
Manifold MarketsRegels
Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve to YES if Magic Kingdom at Walt Disney World hosts at least one official nighttime fireworks spectacular on every single calendar night from August 12, 2026, through September 10, 2026 (inclusive, Eastern Time).
- This market will resolve to NO if, on any calendar night within this date range, no fireworks show is performed at Magic Kingdom for any reason—including but not limited to severe weather, high winds, technical failures, schedule alterations, or park closures.
- Clarifications:
- What counts: Both the standard Happily Ever After show and the special party-exclusive Disney’s Not-So-Spooky Spectacular (shown during Mickey's Not-So-Scary Halloween Party nights) count as valid fireworks shows.
- Delays: A show that is delayed but is ultimately performed on that calendar day (even if late) will count toward a YES resolution.
Open markten
WeatherKALSHIHighest temperature in Los Angeles on Sep 8, 2026?
- 88° to 89°+9.0pt37%
- 90° or above+11.0pt28%
- 86° to 87°-12.0pt25%
+3 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 232,5K
- 24u volume
- € 227,3K
KALSHIWhere will it rain on Sep 8, 2026?
- Minneapolis+6.0pt99%
- Houston+41.0pt71%
- Miami-6.0pt69%
+19 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 186,1K
KALSHIHighest temperature in Miami on Sep 8, 2026?
- 92° to 93°+36.0pt81.7%
- 90° to 91°-29.0pt7.7%
- 94° or above+3.0pt7.7%
+3 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
KALSHIHighest temperature in New York City on Sep 8, 2026?
- 80° to 81°+25.0pt68.2%
- 82° to 83°-12.0pt24.3%
- 79° or below-3.0pt4.7%
+3 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
POLYMARKETHighest temperature in Chengdu on September 9?
- 27°C+60.0pt93.9%
- 28°C-13.5pt6.1%
- 21°C or below-1.4pt0%
+8 extra uitkomsten
KALSHIWill a hurricane make landfall in Hawaii in 2026?
- No89%
- Yes-4.0pt11%
- Totaal volume
- € 66,7K
- 24u volume
- € 28,6K
- Highest temperature in Chicago on Sep 8, 2026?
- Highest temperature in Munich on September 9?
- Highest temperature in Austin on Sep 8, 2026?
- Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- Highest temperature in Minneapolis on Sep 8, 2026?
- Highest temperature in Tokyo on September 9?
- Highest temperature in San Francisco on Sep 8, 2026?
- Highest temperature in Philadelphia on Sep 8, 2026?
- Highest temperature in Dallas on Sep 8, 2026?
- Highest temperature in Houston on Sep 8, 2026?
- Highest temperature in Boston on Sep 8, 2026?
Veelgestelde vragen
- Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor Will Magic Kingdom have a fireworks show every night from August 12 to September 10?”?
- Manifold Markets prijst No op 54% per 8 september 2026.
- Wanneer wordt Will Magic Kingdom have a fireworks show every night from August 12 to September 10?” afgewikkeld?
- Will Magic Kingdom have a fireworks show every night from August 12 to September 10?” wordt naar verwachting op 10 september 2026 afgewikkeld.
- Hoe wordt Will Magic Kingdom have a fireworks show every night from August 12 to September 10?” afgewikkeld?
- Manifold Markets wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: Resolution criteria