Will "llm assistant personas seem increasingly inco..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review?

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Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor Will "llm assistant personas seem increasingly inco..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review??

Manifold Markets prijst No op 80% per 26 oktober 2026.

Wanneer wordt Will "llm assistant personas seem increasingly inco..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review? afgewikkeld?

Will "llm assistant personas seem increasingly inco..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review? wordt naar verwachting op 1 februari 2028 afgewikkeld.

Hoe wordt Will "llm assistant personas seem increasingly inco..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review? afgewikkeld?

Manifold Markets wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: As part of LessWrong's Annual Review, the community nominates, writes reviews, and votes on the most valuable posts.

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POLYMARKET

Anthropic IPO by which date?

• December 31,+12.0pt95%
• December 15,+11.0pt93%
• November 30,+24.0pt88%

+15 extra uitkomsten

Totaal volume

€ 5,2 mln.

24u volume

€ 313,2K

KALSHI

When will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?

• Before Apr 1, 2027+4.0pt96.5%
• Before Feb 1, 2027+8.0pt96.5%
• Before Mar 1, 2027+6.0pt

POLYMARKET

Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap

• $1.75–$2.0T+3.0pt30.5%
• $2.0–$2.25T+1.6pt20%
• $1.5–$1.75T-0.6pt17.1%

+7 extra uitkomsten

KALSHI

Best AI at the end of 2026?

• Claude+0.1pt56.6%
• Gemini+1.8pt32.6%
• ChatGPT-1.2pt

POLYMARKET

What will Anthropic's public ticker be?

• $ANT+45.5pt100%
• $AAI-9.8pt0%
• $ANAI-2.8pt0%

+6 extra uitkomsten

POLYMARKET

Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by which date?

• December 31+2.5pt96%
• October 31-7.8pt37%
• October 30-12.5pt32%

+17 extra uitkomsten

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• In which month will Anthropic IPO?
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• Which bank will lead Anthropic's IPO?
• Open vs. Closed Token Volume (open weights share) in Oct 26, 2026