Manifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspellingJa 95.4%
Voorspellers
13
Vraagtype
binary
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Brontype
Voorspelling
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 9 minuten geleden
16 sep 26, 13:30 UTC8 okt 26, 21:00 UTC
Trends
Gerelateerde Markten
Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
Holborn and St Pancras By-Election: Vote Share Margin of Victory
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PolymarketHolborn and St Pancras By-Election - Winner
SmarketsRegels
Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve to YES if the Labour Party candidate (Sagal Abdi-Wali) wins the 2026 Holborn and St Pancras parliamentary by-election scheduled for October 8, 2026.
- It will resolve to NO if any other candidate wins the seat.
- The outcome will be verified using the official election results published by Camden Council.
- The 2026 Holborn and St Pancras by-election was triggered on September 1, 2026, following the resignation of former Prime Minister Sir Keir Starmer as the Member of Parliament for the constituency.
- Starmer, who stood down as Prime Minister earlier in 2026, announced he was vacating his parliamentary seat to focus on international affairs.
