Manifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdWaarschuwing datakwaliteitBrongegevens verslechterd
Gegevens van 24 okt 2026, 21:31 UTC · beleid pm-quality-4
Huidige gemeenschapsvoorspellingJa 55.5%
Voorspellers
19
Vraagtype
binary
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Brontype
Voorspelling
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 1 uur geleden
Vertraagd30 apr 26, 19:48 UTC31 dec 28, 23:59 UTC
Trends
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KalshiRegels
Resolution criteria
- This market resolves to "YES" if Kamala Harris officially announces her candidacy for the 2028 U.S. Presidential election.
- An official announcement includes a statement released by her campaign, a formal filing with the Federal Election Commission (FEC), or a direct, unambiguous public declaration of her intent to run.
- The market resolves to "NO" if she explicitly states she will not run, or if the 2028 inauguration occurs without her having announced a campaign.
- Resolution will be based on reports from major, reputable news outlets (e.g., AP, Reuters, The New York Times, CNN).
- If she forms an exploratory committee or makes a similar formal step toward candidacy, this will be considered an announcement of a run.
