Manifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspellingNee 88.9%
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binary
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Bijgewerkt 8 minuten geleden
21 mei 25, 18:50 UTC16 sep 26, 18:44 UTC
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Gerelateerde Markten
Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
Will If Anyone Builds It appear in a NYT bestseller list again?
Manifold MarketsHow many hours will I study in September? (10 mana bonus, read description)
Manifold MarketsWhat will JD Vance say during RNC Convention?
KalshiWhat will JD Vance say during RNC Convention?
PolymarketWho will win the 2026 United States Senate special election in Ohio (to fill JD Vance's seat)?
Manifold MarketsWill Trump endorse JD Vance for president before 2027?
PolymarketRegels
Resolves YES if by a year after the current release date (Sep 16, 2026), JD Vance has mentioned reading (even part of) the new book "If Anyone Builds It, Everyone Dies."
- Also resolves YES if some event occurs that strongly implies that he has read it (he has a meeting with the author, or a copy of the book is photographed on his desk with a bookmark, or Usha Vance says he has read it, or whatever).
- That is to say, it doesn't have to be an official declaration from his mouth.
- This market inspired by his recent remarks in an interview with the NYTimes that he had read AI-2027.
- https://www.nytimes.com/2025/05/21/opinion/jd-vance-pope-trump-immigration.html
- Here is book information: https://ifanyonebuildsit.com/?ref=nsxmay
Open markten
US PoliticsPOLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.1pt25%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
+49 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 605,7 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 695,7K
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio-0.1pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
+39 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 603,2 mln.
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31-2.4pt48.3%
- October 31-2.0pt29.3%
- September 30-4.0pt12.1%
+17 extra uitkomsten
POLYMARKET$LAPTOP FDV above ___ one day after launch?
- $10M+9.8pt96%
- $25M+15.5pt94%
- $50M+31.5pt86%
+4 extra uitkomsten
KALSHIWhich party will win the U.S. House?
- Democratic Party84.2%
- Republican Party15.8%
- Totaal volume
- € 24,3 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 294,7K
KALSHI2028 Republican presidential nominee
- J.D. Vance44.7%
- Marco Rubio20.4%
- Ron DeSantis3.9%
+35 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 54,7 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 291,3K
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- New Hampshire Democratic Senate nominee?
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms
- Which party will win the House in 2026?
- Trump renames New Mexico to New America by which date?
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist by which date?
- Trump out as President by September 30?
- Rhode Island Democratic Governor nominee?
Veelgestelde vragen
- Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor Will JD Vance read "If Anyone Builds It, Everyone Dies"??
- Manifold Markets prijst No op 89% per 8 september 2026.
- Wanneer wordt Will JD Vance read "If Anyone Builds It, Everyone Dies"? afgewikkeld?
- Will JD Vance read "If Anyone Builds It, Everyone Dies"? wordt naar verwachting op 16 september 2026 afgewikkeld.
- Hoe wordt Will JD Vance read "If Anyone Builds It, Everyone Dies"? afgewikkeld?
- Manifold Markets wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: Resolves YES if by a year after the current release date (Sep 16, 2026), JD Vance has mentioned reading (even part of) the new book "If Anyone Builds It, Everyone Dies."