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  1. Voorspellingsmarkten
  2. US Politics
  3. Will JD Vance integrate rationalist bloggers into significant D.C. influence by 2028?
Will JD Vance integrate rationalist bloggers into significant D.C. influence by 2028?

Will JD Vance integrate rationalist bloggers into significant D.C. influence by 2028?

One-OffUS PoliticsPolitiekAI1j
Manifold MarketsManifold MarketsGeen KYC
Huidige gemeenschapsvoorspelling
Ja
Ja 13.9%
Koploper van 3 uitkomsten
Voorspellers

25

Vraagtype

multiple choice

Methodologie

Play-money forecasting platform

Brontype

Voorspelling

Marktdata

Bijgewerkt gisteren

Verouderd
9 nov 24, 15:3717 jan 28, 6:59

Trends

Uitkomst24uKans

Gekozen uitkomst

Yes14%

Regels

This market assesses the likelihood that JD Vance will play a meaningful role in helping individuals associated with rationalist blogging, 𝕏, or similar intellectual communities attain formal influence within high levels of U.S. government or policy-making circles by 2028.

Manifold Markets
  • Terms for the Market
  • Notable Integration:
  • Integration requires rationalist bloggers to gain substantial influence in official roles, formal advisory capacities, or have recognized policy impact facilitated by JD Vance’s direct involvement or endorsement.
  • Casual acknowledgments or public discussions do not meet this threshold.
  • Qualifying Political Figure:

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Regels

This market assesses the likelihood that JD Vance will play a meaningful role in helping individuals associated with rationalist blogging, 𝕏, or similar intellectual communities attain formal influence within high levels of U.S. government or policy-making circles by 2028.

Manifold Markets
  • Terms for the Market
  • Notable Integration:
  • Integration requires rationalist bloggers to gain substantial influence in official roles, formal advisory capacities, or have recognized policy impact facilitated by JD Vance’s direct involvement or endorsement.
  • Casual acknowledgments or public discussions do not meet this threshold.
  • Qualifying Political Figure: