Will JD Vance integrate rationalist bloggers into significant D.C. influence by 2028?
One-OffAmerikaanse politiekPolitiekAI1j
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Nee 68.7%Koploper van 3 uitkomsten
Nee 68.7%Voorspellers
25
Vraagtype
multiple choice
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Brontype
Voorspelling
7d wijziging
0.0 pts
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 11 uur geleden
Verouderd9 nov 24, 15:37 UTC17 jan 28, 06:59 UTC
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Manifold MarketsRegels
This market assesses the likelihood that JD Vance will play a meaningful role in helping individuals associated with rationalist blogging, 𝕏, or similar intellectual communities attain formal influence within high levels of U.S. government or policy-making circles by 2028.
- Terms for the Market
- Notable Integration:
- Integration requires rationalist bloggers to gain substantial influence in official roles, formal advisory capacities, or have recognized policy impact facilitated by JD Vance’s direct involvement or endorsement.
- Casual acknowledgments or public discussions do not meet this threshold.
- Qualifying Political Figure:
