Manifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspellingNee 74.5%
Voorspellers
13
Vraagtype
binary
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Brontype
Voorspelling
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 17 uur geleden
Verouderd11 jun 26, 05:41 UTC31 dec 27, 23:59 UTC
Trends
Gerelateerde Markten
Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
Will Haiti hold an election before the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill the AI Village agents adopt a charter AND hold an election by November 30, 2026?
Manifold MarketsPrime Minister of Israel after the next election?
PolymarketNetanyahu out by which date?
PolymarketPrime Minister of Israel after the 2026 election?
KalshiWill Netanyahu visit New York City by which date?
PolymarketRegels
This market resolves to YES if Israel holds a nationwide legislative election to elect members of the Knesset (parliament) on any date from January 1, 2027, through December 31, 2027, inclusive.
- Israel's next legislative election is scheduled to be held by October 27, 2026.
- However, Israel's political landscape is highly volatile, frequently characterized by early coalition dissolutions and snap elections.
- For this market to resolve YES, the scheduled 2026 election would need to be delayed into 2027, or a newly formed government would need to collapse shortly after taking power, triggering a subsequent election in 2027.
- If elections occur in 2026 as scheduled and no further Knesset election is held in 2027, this market will resolve NO.
Open markten
PoliticsKALSHINH-01 Democratic nominee?
- Stefany Shaheen+81.8pt100%
- Maura Sullivan-81.6pt0%
- Carleigh Beriont-2.7pt0%
- Totaal volume
- € 957,3K
- 24u volume
- € 760,7K
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff17.2%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez16.2%
- Gavin Newsom-1.0pt13.1%
+45 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 183,7 mln.
- 24u volume
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-3.0pt52.5%
- Flávio Bolsonaro+2.9pt45.5%
- Renan Santos1%
+16 extra uitkomsten
POLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+2.0pt74.3%
- New People (NL)-1.3pt21.8%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-0.6pt3%
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio+0.2pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
+39 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
POLYMARKETNext French Presidential Election
- Marine Le Pen-0.2pt37.1%
- Édouard Philippe32%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon12.4%
+38 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- Rhode Island Democratic Governor nominee?
- Which party will win the U.S. House?
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- Russia Parliamentary Election Winner
- NJ-07 House winner?
- IA-01 House winner?
Veelgestelde vragen
- Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor Will Israel hold an election in 2027??
- Manifold Markets prijst No op 75% per 8 september 2026.
- Wanneer wordt Will Israel hold an election in 2027? afgewikkeld?
- Will Israel hold an election in 2027? wordt naar verwachting op 31 december 2027 afgewikkeld.
- Hoe wordt Will Israel hold an election in 2027? afgewikkeld?
- Manifold Markets wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: This market resolves to YES if Israel holds a nationwide legislative election to elect members of the Knesset (parliament) on any date from January 1, 2027, through December 31, 2027, inclusive.