Manifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensGoed gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspellingJa 68.4%
Voorspellers
17
Vraagtype
binary
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Brontype
Voorspelling
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 59 minuten geleden
Vertraagd11 jun 26, 05:41 UTC31 dec 27, 23:59 UTC
Trends
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PolymarketRegels
This market resolves to YES if Israel holds a nationwide legislative election to elect members of the Knesset (parliament) on any date from January 1, 2027, through December 31, 2027, inclusive.
- Israel's next legislative election is scheduled to be held by October 27, 2026.
- However, Israel's political landscape is highly volatile, frequently characterized by early coalition dissolutions and snap elections.
- For this market to resolve YES, the scheduled 2026 election would need to be delayed into 2027, or a newly formed government would need to collapse shortly after taking power, triggering a subsequent election in 2027.
- If elections occur in 2026 as scheduled and no further Knesset election is held in 2027, this market will resolve NO.