Manifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspellingNee 87.9%
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18
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binary
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
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Voorspelling
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Bijgewerkt 10 minuten geleden
14 nov 23, 16:54 UTC1 jan 30, 23:59 UTC
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Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
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PolymarketRegels
They have executed 2 people so far: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Capital_punishment_in_Israel#Executed_people and only have capital punishment for things like genocide.
- It's quite possible they could capture, try, and execute Sinwar or someone like that for genocide.
- Resolves positive if there is an execution on or before 1 January 2030.
