Will Iran's govt change AND all US sanctions on Iran be lifted by 2030?
Middle EastGeopolitiekOne-Off3jManifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspellingNee 70.5%
Voorspellers
18
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binary
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
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Voorspelling
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 13 uur geleden
Verouderd15 jun 25, 01:06 UTC31 dec 29, 23:59 UTC
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The first half of question refers to https://manifold.markets/BaryLevy/will-the-government-of-the-islamic-9R2hcIEElO?r=QW5U.
- the essence of the resolution criteria is whether the people in control of Tehran or most of Iran are still Ayatollahs or hold a similar Shiite-muslim religious title.
- The second half of question refers to https://manifold.markets/IsaacKing/will-the-us-lift-all-sanctions-on-i?r=QW5U but extended by a year.
- That market doesn't have resolution criteria specified yet so I'll match its reasoning plus use my best judgement.
- This is a conjunction market; it resolves YES iff both parts are satisfied (though not necessarily in a causally linked manner).
Open markten
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- Yes-0.1pt2%
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- Yes-0.1pt0%
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- 24u volume
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Veelgestelde vragen
- Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor Will Iran's govt change AND all US sanctions on Iran be lifted by 2030??
- Manifold Markets prijst No op 71% per 8 september 2026.
- Wanneer wordt Will Iran's govt change AND all US sanctions on Iran be lifted by 2030? afgewikkeld?
- Will Iran's govt change AND all US sanctions on Iran be lifted by 2030? wordt naar verwachting op 31 december 2029 afgewikkeld.
- Hoe wordt Will Iran's govt change AND all US sanctions on Iran be lifted by 2030? afgewikkeld?
- Manifold Markets wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: The first half of question refers to https://manifold.markets/BaryLevy/will-the-government-of-the-islamic-9R2hcIEElO?r=QW5U.